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All eyes turn to the US CPI release coming up tomorrow 1.30pm GMT. 

With the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report looming on the horizon, investors are taking stock of recent economic indicators and gearing up for potential market shifts. The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) data provided a mixed bag of surprises, initially spiking at 0.5% but dampening enthusiasm with downward revisions from previous figures.

US PPI data, US CPI Data

As anticipation builds for the CPI release, the focus is on expectations and potential revisions. Analysts foresee a slight decrease, but uncertainties linger amidst the backdrop of persistent inflationary pressures. However, recent developments in the labor market, including a dip in Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers, offer a glimmer of hope for stabilizing inflation rates.

In assessing potential outcomes, market participants are considering a range of scenarios. A CPI uptick to 3.7% or higher could strengthen the USD while weakening stocks. Conversely, a modest decline closer to 3% might lead to USD depreciation and bolster equities.

USD Index - Forex Analysis ahead of CPI

If you’re interested in catching up with our recent live stream you can watch the recap below.

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