Forex Week Ahead Analysis: 5th February | Technical Analysis

By Jonathan Kibbler

07 August 2024

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Dive into the Forex week ahead! 📈 Federal Reserve's Powell to discuss interest rates post non-farm payroll surge. In central bank news we see the RBA's rate decision. 💹 #Forex #TradingInsights #MarketWatch

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Forex Week Ahead Analysis: 5th February

The spotlight for the beginning of the week falls on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is scheduled to speak on Monday. Powell's discussion will revolve around interest rates and inflation, following the Fed's decision to maintain rates at 5.50% last week. The central bank's commitment to keeping rates steady is likely to be supported by the surprising surge in non-farm payrolls, which rose to 353k in January. This robust job market performance reinforces the Fed's decision to hold off on any immediate rate adjustments.

Keeping an eye on economic indicators is crucial for forex traders. One such indicator to watch out for is the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). Forecasted to rise from 50.6 to 52.0, an upward trend in the ISM Services PMI could signal increased economic activity in the United States. This, in turn, might impact the forex market, influencing the strength of the US dollar.

Shifting our focus to the Asia-Pacific region, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to announce its interest rate decision. Forecasts indicate that the RBA will leave rates unchanged at 4.35%.

USD INDEX

USD Index chart for February 5

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • The price of the USD Index rose last week breaking through the resistance of 103.50.
  • This could see a move towards the resistance of 104.20 or key highs of 104.50.

AUDUSD

AUDUSD chart analysis for February 5

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • AUDUSD remained below the resistance of 0.6600 and price has now breached the 0.6525 support.
  • This could see the price continue lower towards the next level of support of 0.6450.

USDCHF

USDCHF chart analysis for February 5

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • USDCHF was a forex pair to watch from the currency strength meter.
  • Price found support of the key level of 0.8570.
  • If this sentiment remains, the price could trade to the 0.8800 resistance.

GOLD

gold analysis for February 5

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • Gold prices have found resistance at the key level of $2060.00.
  • USD strength could push Gold prices towards the lows of 2020.00.

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About the author

Jonathan Kibbler

Jon Kibbler, our Senior Market Analyst, boasts over a decade of trading experience. He specializes in dissecting the intricacies of financial markets and sharing his expertise with precision. Jon's insights have been featured at renowned events and platforms like Coindex, Forex Analytix, and Forex.com.