Fibonacci retracements are one of the most popular methods for predicting currency prices in the Forex market. Predicting upward or downward market movement can help traders with accurate price analysis for exiting or entering the market. The Fibonacci analysis equips you with the insight you can use in trading the volatile market. In this article, we discuss everything you should know about Fibonacci retracement in Forex trading:
Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis method that helps determine support and resistance levels in the Forex market. The Fibonacci retracement levels are considered as movements in the currency pair price charts that move against the ongoing market trend. Each Fibonacci retracement level is identified as a percentage, which describes how much of a past move in the currency pair price has retraced. 22.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% are the most popular and officially used retracement levels. The best time frame to identify Fibonacci retracements is a 30-to-60-minute candlestick chart, as it allows you to focus on the daily market swings at regular intervals.
There is no specific mathematical formula for finding the Fibonacci retracement. It is calculated by the trader choosing two price points in the currency pair price chart and drawing lines between them at the specified percentage of the particular move. Let us understand this with an example. Suppose the currency pair price of EUR/USD increases from $100 to $150, and you choose these two price levels to draw the Fibonacci retracement indicator at 23.6%. Now, the 23.6% retracement level will be at [$150 - ($50*0.236)] = $150-$11.8 = $138.2. Similarly, the 50% retracement level will be at [$150 – (50*0.5)] = $150-$25 = $125. If we use the example, this means that, in a rising market, the currency pair price will stop increasing at $138.2 or $125, change direction, and start falling. Hence, the $138.2 and $125 price points are considered as the resistance levels that should be considered to exit the market by taking a maximum profit.
There are several ways to use the Fibonacci retracement, but it widely depends on your trading strategy and long-term goals. However, here are the basic ways in which each trader can use Fibonacci retracements in the Forex market:
Fibonacci Flush Strategy
The primary purpose of the Fibonacci Flush Strategy is to identify the hidden resistance and support levels that a trader can use to their benefit by entering, exiting, or stopping a trade movement in the market. When traders combine multiple time frames, they get more accurate results that help identify low-risk entries and highly profitable exits.
The Parabola Pop Strategy
The Parabola Pop Strategy is used to track the breakout points below and above the retracement levels. This helps in provide traders with the early entry points that help save them from major breakouts and breakdowns in the foreign exchange market. The Parabola Pop strategy works best in the longer duration of time as it then enables the traders to see more significant patterns in the market that are above and beyond the immediate downtrends and uptrends.
When you watch the market trends closely through Fibonacci retracement levels, you allow yourself to see more prominent market
patterns that do not just consist of the major upturns and downturns. It helps you pinpoint potential profits that are beyond
the short-term expectations of a trader. Blueberry Markets provides you with a set of multiple time frame charts that you can use
to analyse the market movement and decide your preferred Fibonacci retracement level and make successful market entry and exit decisions.
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You can place the Fibonacci retracement in the market grid from the low price to high price in an uptrend and from high price to low price in a downtrend.
The horizontal Fibonacci lines are used to determine the support and resistance prices in the Forex market.
The Fibonacci retracement is analysed by taking two extreme price points on a Forex market price chart.
The 30-60 minute candlestick chart is best suited to analyse the Fibonacci retracements to watch the daily market swings closely.
Fibonacci retracement strategies help traders identify the market's support and resistance levels, trend reversal points, and entry and exit decisions.
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The Bearish Gartley pattern was introduced in 1935, by H.M. Gartley in his book, “Profits in the Stock Market”. The pattern helps Forex traders in identifying higher probabilities of selling opportunities. Hence, it gives the trader the favorable exit point for a long position that benefits them.
The Bullish Three Drive pattern in Forex trading is a rare pattern that gives traders information about the Forex market’s potential at its most Bearish point, and in turn, suggests probabilities for a market reversal.
The Moving Average Crossover is a valuable tool to find the middle price-point of a trend in forex trading. When currency prices crossover their current moving averages, it helps traders identify the favorable buying or selling points for the currency.
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